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The Morning Line: Oklahoma City, Day 3

Stetson Lawrence, Nathan Schaper, Ben Jones, and Harve Stewart all have two rides in this event, and all have drawn unknown bulls in Round 3. Schaper and Jones both have Chad Berger bulls, and that in itself indicates they may be better than the average young bull. When Berger gets a new bull, he typically expects it to be a major player, and he’s seen the bull do very well somewhere off the radar.

Stewart and Lawrence both have young bulls from H.D. Page, and if you are going to have a relatively unknown young bull, the Pages have been known to raise some good ones. It’s hard to say what will happen in these four matchups, but they will play a key role in who gets points at this event.

Round 3 Matchups:

Matt Triplett on 842 Hou’s Back:

Everything’s coming up roses for Triplett this week. He split first in Round 1, won first in Round 2, and he’s got one of the best draws at this event today. When last we saw Hou’s Back, he was carrying J.B. Mauney to a 90.25 point score and a round win at the World Finals. We saw him three times in 2014, and he was ridden each time. Any decent score is likely to keep Triplett in the lead, but he should get a great score if he can hang with this bull, and he could pick up another round win.

J.B. Mauney on 12 Circle T’s Crossfire:

Like Triplett, Mauney has put up two big scores here, and he’s drawn a really good bull. The difference is, while Triplett has a bull that has been known to give up some big rides, Crossfire has been known to buck off everyone who gets on him. He’s 19-0 in a career that includes two PBR finals. He’s bucked off Fabiano Vieira and Mike Lee among others. Crossfire is likely to go to the left, and he looks like a bull that should fit Mauney pretty well, but there’s obviously something pretty difficult about him.

Kasey Hayes on 830 Spotted Velvet:

Hayes doesn’t have a score this weekend so far, but he’s got a really good chance to salvage some points out of this event on this bull. Joao Ricardo Vieira rode him for a round win in Albuquerque, New Mexico, last season, and he’s been ridden a couple of other times for very good scores. Spotted Velvet should go to the left and he’s got a lot of gas.

Fabiano Vieira on 02 Gnarly Head:

We’ve only seen Gnarly Head on tour a couple of times, but he’s been to quite a few Touring Pro Division events, and he’s typically one of the better bulls at those events. He’s been ridden just once — Cooper Davis was 87.5 points on him. He looks to be a rider-friendly kind of bull. He’s got good timing, and he should be a pretty good long round draw at this level. Whether he’s good enough to get Vieira a round win is a big question. There are a number of ranker bulls out tonight.

Eduardo Aparecido on 045 Total Bull:

Total Bull has just four outs on record, but in every one of those outs at least one of the judges marked him 22 points or more. That projects to a 90-plus point score. Aparecido already has two scores, but he didn’t place in the points in either round. This is his chance to earn some.

Valdiron de Oliveira on 95X Dumber:

Dumber has been ridden just once in 12 outs on tour, and just three times in 28 outs over the course of his career. Silvano Alves rode him in the opening round of the World Finals. Dumber is always good, but sometimes he’s great. He’s got the potential to be the best bull out in any long round, but he doesn’t always live up to it. When he really bucks he can be a handful.

Renato Nunes on W11 Stirred Up:

This is a Page bull, and like Oliveira’s bull, he’s been inconsistent. Actually, he’s far more inconsistent. He’s had a number of weak outs and a number of really good one. By his numbers he’s either outstanding or below average. He’s had a bad out at this level before, which is when we haven’t seen him in a while. He’s only been ridden twice in 20 career outs.

Follow Slade Long on Twitter @Probullstats

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