PBR Pick ‘Em Morning Line – Manchester Round 1

By: Slade Long

Eli Vastbinder on -51 Skeeter Peter:

This event overall is set up for the riders to do well. We’ve seen in past years that events this late in the season and on the east or west coast can be lighter on bull power, and the riders take advantage of it. Matchups like this one are more common. Vastbinder has been riding well enough lately, and he has a bull here that gives a significant advantage to right-handed riders; he’s 6-10 against them. The odds are tilted way in Vastbinder’s favor here, and there will be more matchups like this in both rounds this weekend.

Kaique Pacheco on 681 Dirty Sancho:

This is a hardworking bull who went to a lot of events this year. He’s also really good to right-handed riders. Pacheco was 87.75 points on him in Jacksonville back in May. Pacheco did not draw well last weekend but should get off to a strong start here.

Marco Eguchi on G2 Man Cow:

Eguchi looks to have the edge in this matchup. Man Cow goes to a lot of lower-level events, and he hasn’t faced a lot of top-tier riders. He also hasn’t faced a lot of right-handed riders, but he’s 1-2 against the ones he has faced.

Eduardo Aparecido on 7547 CB’s Buck Naked:

This bull is 0-2 against top-tier guys and 3-3 against right-handers. Aparecido hasn’t been riding at a top-tier level this season. In fact, this has been a down season for him overall. His riding percentage dropped from around 45% last year to 26% in 2021. But, I’ve been running qualified ride predictions on every matchup since June of this year, and this matchup is the best ride probability Aparecido has had in that time.

Grayson Cole on 46 Sugar Boom Boom:

This is not one of the easier bulls in the round. He can hold his own against every kind of rider. However, he is rideable, and Cole rode him for 87 points in July of this year at a velocity event in Bangor, Maine.

Keyshawn Whitehorse on 24 Night Shift:

At a glance, this doesn’t look like a particularly favorable matchup for Whitehorse, but the probability of a qualified ride comes out pretty high anyway. Night Shift has a relatively low difficulty rating, and Whitehorse in his career is 18-0 against bulls who have similar numbers. He’s been ridden a couple of times and hasn’t been to a UTB-level event before now or faced very many UTB-level riders. This bull could be better than his numbers make him look – he only has seven career outs. The computer likes Whitehorse, but I’m on the fence.

Andrew Alvidrez on 48 Ol’ Boy:

This is an honest and consistent bull who has been ridden pretty often this year. Overall, he’s been ridden 14 times in 41 career outs. He’s better to left-handed riders than righties, but he’s a nice draw nonetheless. Alvidrez rode two much tougher bulls in Anaheim last month to finish second there.

Jesse Petri on 15-5 Dr. Campbell:

From January to July of this year, Dr. Campbell was ridden six times in eight outs. But since Matt Palmer was 88 points on him at a Mandan, North Dakota, rodeo on July 2, he’s 5-0 against five really good riders. Petri is 2-for-14 in September and October and needs to get on a better pace going into the World Finals.

Cody Casper on 600 Heaven’s Gate:

We really don’t know much about this bull, but in his only out on record – about a week ago in Columbus, Ohio – Brennon Eldred was 90.5 points on him. Casper is way down in 51st place in the standings, but 100 points could put him in contention to qualify for the World Finals. Winning first or second at this event could get him there.

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